Showing posts with label popular treatments. Show all posts
Showing posts with label popular treatments. Show all posts

Thursday, November 28, 2024

Stepstones to infinity

 kw: book reviews, nonfiction, science, astronomy, space science, popular treatments

My favorite astrophysicist, Neil deGrasse Tyson, published a new book last year in collaboration with Lindsey Nyx Walker, in the Startalk series: To Infinity and Beyond: A Journey of Cosmic Discovery. With apologies to Buzz Lightyear, the title makes it clear this is no scientific treatise.

As one might expect, the book is fun to read, pitched at just the right level for a popular audience, and copiously illustrated. Rather than chapters, the book has four sections, with a subtitle every couple of pages. The sections are titled "Leaving Earth", "Touring the Sun's Backyard", "Into Outer Space", and "To Infinity and Beyond". Broadly speaking, the sections are like layers of an onion, starting at the center.

The second section, on the planets and their satellites and asteroids and other denizens of the solar system, is the longest, as befits the greater knowledge we have "in the Sun's back yard", where at least we have sent instruments to pass by or even orbit the planets and selected objects. The book went to press before the capsule of material returned from Asteroid Bennu was opened, so that's not mentioned. What is mentioned is the quest to colonize Mars, which cannot realistically be done without terraforming it. Engineering solutions, including carpet bombing the polar ice caps with nuclear weapons, have been proposed. Dr. Tyson has this to say:

"In any case, if humanity ever develops enough geoengineering know-how to terraform Mars as our escape plan after we trash Earth, then we should certainly be able to use that intelligence to make Earth livable again and save ourselves from requiring a planet B in the first place." (p. 135)

To which I add a strong, "Amen!"

The fourth section, after treating what we know of the distant cosmos in a general way, gets a bit philosophical. The authors have this to say about "beyond", that is, about the many-worlds interpretation of quantum uncertainty: "The many-worlds solution may not be simple, but it is the simplest explanation for the oddities at quantum scales." I must contend with that:

Consider sunlight shining through an ordinary window. When the light encounters the glass, ~4% is reflected from the outer surface and ~96% passes into the glass. Then about another 4% is reflected from the second surface and the rest, ~92%, continues onward. Interestingly, the light that reflected back into the glass pane is partly reflected and then most passes through. Some smaller and smaller fraction of the original light bounces back and forth inside the glass pane. Glass is not 100% transparent, to soon whatever has not escaped is absorbed. Considering only visible light, sunlight has an intensity of around 500 watts per square meter, or 0.05 watt (50 mw) per square centimeter. Skipping the math, the number of photons of visible light that encounter the glass each second is about 1.4x1017, or 140 quadrillion (140 million billion). Each photon "decides" whether to reflect or pass through, twice because the glass has two surfaces. According to the many-worlds interpretation, 280 quadrillion entire universes are created every second, because of sunlight shining through one square centimeter of glass. I have a picture window in my family room that has an area of two square meters. On a sunny morning, every second, about 5.6x1021 universes spring into existence, along what dimensions we have know way to discern. Five and a half sextillion. Every second.

Folks, that's just silly. Whatever photons and other quanta are, they are doing something we fundamentally don't understand, and interpretations such as many-worlds reveal how immensely far we are from achieving such understanding.

We are like the pilgrim in this famous engraving from an 1888 book by Flammarion, trying to see beyond our own horizon. Our imagination falls short. Newton imagined himself as a beach comber being fascinated by this shell or that pretty pebble, being ignorant of the expanse of the ocean that tossed them up.

All that aside, and aside from a few errata I'll get into shortly, the book is as entertaining as it is comprehensive. I strongly recommend it.

---------------------------

I have to bring out a few matters where the authors, or a copy editor, ought to have known better:

  1. On p. 22, about warming by infrared light, "…once they absorb the various wavelengths of radiation, molecules on Earth's surface are transformed into infrared and are reemitted by the ground." This is a rather dramatic blunder. The molecules are not transformed into infrared! The relevant phrase should read, "…molecules on Earth's surface emit infrared radiation." All the wavelengths of sunlight that reach the ground warm its substance, and it then emits some of this energy as infrared.
  2. On p. 119, about the slowing of Earth's rotation, mostly by its interaction with the Moon, it is stated, "After two centuries, days are four milliseconds faster." In this context, the word "faster" is misused. The days are "four milliseconds longer." Gah!
  3. On p. 131, "Today, Mars is a frigid tundra." The word "tundra" implies a cold landscape with cold-resistant plant cover. There are no plants on Mars. I don't know what word to use, but the word "tundra" is wrong.
  4. On p. 206, on relationships between the intrinsic brightness of stars and their apparent brightness because of their varying distances, "Sirius, the brightest star in our night sky, is smaller than Earth and 8.6 light-years away,…" Siriusly?!?!? As it happens, Sirius is 1.7 times the size of the Sun. Its companion, the white dwarf designated Sirius B, which is much too faint to see without a large telescope, is indeed smaller than Earth.
  5. Finally, look carefully at this illustration of a prism producing a spectrum:

This is found on p. 212, where spectroscopy is being discussed. The illustration is from Getty Images. The way the beam of light bends upward as it enters the prism implies that the prism has a refractive index less than 1, which is impossible. Such a material would require the light to go "faster than light" within it.


Compare with this illustration:



This is from Britannica online. It is more correct, showing the light entering being refracted toward the perpendicular to the glass surface as it passes into the prism, and then refracted away from the perpendicular of the second glass surface as it exits. P.S. I was a spectroscopist for a few years…

This illustration isn't totally accurate, however. The best spectroscopic glass disperses the spectrum by a little less than one degree. The spectrum at the right is being dispersed about 15°. However, this bit of scientific license is needed to make the principle more clear.

I put the query "prism spectrum" into a Google Images search. I found that a great many repositories of stock photos have it wrong; only about one-third have it right! Don't Getty and all the others have anyone with scientific understanding on their staffs?

Wednesday, July 24, 2024

The Universe is out to get you

 kw: book reviews, nonfiction, science, popular treatments, humor, space, mortality

"Nobody gets out of this alive." A common proverb. Scientist Paul M. Sutter, in his book How to Die in Space: A Journey Through Disastrous Astrophysical Phenomena, has advice for delaying the end, "Don't go into space." After reading this book, almost anyone will be convinced that a surefire way to reduce one's "alive time" is to get off the Earth, out of the atmosphere, beyond the Van Allen belts, and ultimately to exit first the Earth's magnetosphere, then the heliosphere, and finally enter interstellar or even intergalactic space. Each step adds new risks.

The book's four sections, each with four chapters, detail all the interesting, amazing, and terrifying things that happen to a human who has left behind the cherishing and nurturing embrace of our mother planet. Now, there are a lot of things right here on Earth that can kill us. Sooner or later, one of them will happen to each and every one of us. Space just provides new and improved methods of attaining an early demise. The galaxy really is out to get you.

If the book were a dry catalog, it wouldn't be worth reading. Happily, Dr. Sutter's humor keeps it light. He really doesn't want you to die an early death (a later one will do just fine, thank you!). His tone is appropriate to a class filled with ready-to-be-bored sophomores, most of whom will ignore all the warnings anyway. So as you read, relax and let your inner adolescent enjoy.

The book got me thinking. Just how many layers of protection are provided, not just by the Earth with its atmosphere and biosphere, but by the solar system itself? The heliosphere is produced by one dangerous phenomenon—solar wind—but protects Earth from certain interstellar and intergalactic risks. For example, at any one point near the Sun, its magnetic field is about as strong as a refrigerator magnet. But a refrigerator magnet is a couple of centimeters across, while the Sun's surface is about 10,000 times as large as the surface of the Earth. The Earth's magnetic field strength is less than 1% of that. The solar magnetic field diverts most non-solar cosmic rays. The much smaller magnetic field of Earth, including the Van Allen belts, diverts many of those that the heliosphere allows through. Even then, thousands of cosmic rays pass through any particular square cm of earth, or of you, each second. Without these two magnetic bubbles, cosmic ray intensity would be about equal to that of visible light, or roughly a kilowatt per square meter. But since cosmic rays are penetrating (average energy per particle is about 100,000 times the energy of the photons in a dental X-ray), you'd be warmed throughout, kind of like being in a cosmic microwave oven, with the proviso that these are not microwaves, but super-gamma-ray energies, so they also damage proteins and DNA.

Some stars, and particularly dying ones, have magnetic fields millions or billions or trillions of times as strong as that of the Sun. Suppose an intrepid interstellar traveler wishes to see a magnetar, which is a super-magnetic neutron star. It's only a few km in diameter, but weighs about as much as the Sun, perhaps up to twice as much. Let's ignore the high gravity environment for a moment. You get close enough to see the magnetar as something larger than a simple, blazing point, say a distance of 10,000 km. Have you seen the videos of scientists levitating a small frog in the field of an MRI magnet? Flesh is weakly magnetic. 10,000 km from a magnetar, the billion-times-MRI field would shred your body like a blender. Let's also consider gravity. At the surface of the Sun, if you could stand on it, gravity is about 28 G's. Fighter pilots wearing special suits can briefly tolerate 6 G's. You'd die, fast. And your distance from the Sun's center is 700,000 km. Remember the inverse square law? Do the math if you like. At 10,000 km from a neutron star (magnetar or not), gravity would be about 137,000 G's. In fact, getting to a distance of 10,000 km from any one-solar-mass "compact object", whether it's a neutron star, white dwarf, or black hole, would be the same. Big grease spot.

"All things in moderation." That is what the Earth, in its magnetospheric and heliospheric cocoon, provides. We need a little gravity. The 1-G field we are suited to, plus-or-minus 10% or so, is best. Extreme gravity goes from bad to catastrophic. How about low G? Zero gravity is bad for astronauts; lots of recent reports tell us just how bad. Early osteoporosis, for example. Even the 1/6 G of the Moon isn't enough. Stay on the Moon for a few years, and it will never be safe for you to return to Earth. Even Mars, with 3/8 G, may not be good enough to keep human bodies healthy long term. Sorry, ice skaters that want to skate a Martian canal. Do try to make it a short trip! And the only ice-covered area on Mars you'll find is near one of the poles, where it's cold enough to freeze carbon dioxide. You can't skate on frozen CO2. Most outer space temperatures are extreme in the other direction, at least if you're close enough to some kind of star to be able to learn much about it.

It's not just heat that does one in. Most hot things in the Universe also produce copious penetrating radiation, of several kinds. Outside Earth's magnetosphere, solar wind is a fierce drizzle of protons and alphas (He nuclei) and electrons, with particle energies similar to dental X-rays, dense enough to give a fella radiation poisoning rather soon, in days or even hours. Solar flares emit gamma rays (photons) at much higher energies and densities. Astronauts in space stations receive warnings of solar flares, and hide in specially shielded areas, so they'll live through it. Earth's magnetosphere has no effect on gamma rays. But let's consider a rather quiet star that happens to be larger than the Sun, such as Sirius. The Dog Star weighs in at 2 solar masses, but is 25 times as bright. Where the Sun's light is about 1/3 UV and shorter wavelengths, for Sirius the proportion is 2/3, and a lot of that is at short wavelengths indeed. It might seem good news that the habitable zone (where water on a planet would be liquid most of the time) is 5 times the size of the one in the solar system. In that liquid-water zone you would get sunburnt twice as fast, and unless you had a really robust ozone layer, you'd need to worry about more than UVA and UVB. UVC and UVD are progressively more damaging, verging on the kind of damage X-rays do. In orbit around a planet that is orbiting Sirius, you would need a huge amount of shielding just to be safe from the much stronger stellar wind. And lots of stars are progressively bigger, brighter and more dangerous than Sirius.

The author catalogs everything out there that is "out to get us". It's an impressive list; I've just skated the surface here, just vamped on topics that came to me as I wrote. The author's humor keeps it light, so a reader will hardly mind that the subject is death, dying and other kinds of mayhem. Very enjoyable, actually.

===============

Coda: I have to deal with an issue. Dr. Sutter explains the onionskin model of the core of a large star, describing the successive crises as first hydrogen is consumed, then after the core heats up by 10x or so, helium is burned until it runs low, and so forth. When he gets past carbon, which fuses to produce neon (plus an alpha particle) at some horrendous temperature in the billions of Kelvins (same size of degree as °C, but shifted by 273), he oversimplifies. He states that neon burns to produce oxygen. Is it going backward? It's more complicated than that. The neon shell contains some alphas, produced by carbon fusion, and under intense bombardment by gamma rays, some of the neon is split to oxygen plus alpha (helium), while the rest captures the alphas to produce magnesium and then silicon. Silicon then fuses to produce nickel, but a lot of other reactions also occur, so that all the even-numbered elements in between are also produced. His point is that the nickel isotope so produced is unstable and emits an alpha to yield iron. That's the end of the chain. No more fusion energy is available; other processes that occur in supernovae and during collisions of neutron stars produce all the other elements. See the Stellar Nucleosynthesis article in Wikipedia for a more comprehensive discussion.

Sunday, April 22, 2018

Riding Mars Mania

kw: book reviews, nonfiction, planet mars, popular treatments

As large as the planet Mars looms in history and in the popular consciousness, a 250-page book can at best skim the surface of the many facets and subjects. This is as I expected when I began to read 4th Rock from the Sun: The Story of Mars, by Nicky Jenner.

The book is well written, and I found it enjoyable. I might have preferred the author to settle down to a smaller number of subjects, and to treat them in more depth. But that's just me. For those who have read little about Mars, this is a good introduction, covering history, science and popular culture. Also, with the chance to sign up (for a fee) to actually go there, albeit on a one-way trip with little chance of actually happening in this generation, some folks with Mars dreams but little knowledge could benefit from this book.

We have sent more spacecraft to Mars than any other "place" except the Moon. A useful Appendix lists them all, all 43 Mars missions by all nations, to date. That includes, of course, the USA and USSR (later Russia's Roscosmos), plus Japan, Europe's space agency, China and India.

Sunday, December 24, 2017

Take Tyson's tour

kw: book reviews, nonfiction, science, astrophysics, popular treatments

What's not to like about Neil deGrasse Tyson? He has become the public face of science today. I love his updated Cosmos series. I have privately studied astrophysics and cosmology enough that perhaps I could have passed by his new book, but I couldn't pass by the enjoyable way he treats his subject. Astrophysics for People in a Hurry is well worth anyone's time, whether you know anything about the subject or not...particularly if not!

This is a rather small book, on purpose. Dr. Tyson knows that today's young adults want everything fast, they want it now, and they want it without fuss. If anyone can deliver up a basic survey of astrophysics and cosmology that meets these requirements, he can. He does so in 12 chapters.

When I think of astrophysics, I think mostly of stellar interiors, but there is much more to it than that. Clearly, from the flow of the book, astrophysics includes cosmology in its purview; probably 2/3 of the books content is cosmological. But he really does cover all the bases, from the reasons for roundness (gravity wins), to the shapes of galaxies (the tug-of-war between gravity and angular momentum), and to the reasons for modern cosmological theory to include both "dark matter" and "dark energy". Chapters 5 and 6 present these mysteries as well as I have ever seen, and explain why they seem to be required for the universe to work the way we observe it working.

I had the great pleasure to encounter a professional cosmologist on an airplane flight four days ago, and we had the chance to talk a little (he wasn't in my row, so our time was limited by physical endurance of turning heads rather sharply). I asked him a question I'd have asked Tyson if I had the chance, "If a unified quantum theory requires a quantum of gravity, how can a graviton get out of a black hole so as to interact with the rest of the universe? What is the emitting surface for a graviton?" He admitted that he hadn't thought of that before. After we talked a while of other things, then broke off for a while, he nudged me, saying, "Consider this. A black hole has three qualities: gravity, angular momentum, and electric charge, right?" I agreed. He continued, "The electric charge is carried by virtual photons, the bosons of electromagnetic force. Real photons cannot escape a black hole; that is why it is black. But the electric charge remains in effect anyway. Thus, the virtual photons do escape—and return to—the black hole to keep the electric charge in place." I thanked him for providing a marvelous "hole" in my considerations of gravitons and black holes. I suspect this is the same answer Tyson would give. Now, upon further thought, I wonder if the electric charge is held within the black hole, or remains attached somehow to the event horizon. From there (or very slightly above it), even real photons could escape if needed. But if virtual photons can indeed escape a black hole, then virtual gravitons could also.

This matter doesn't enter into the book. What does enter in, is how all the pieces fit together. Tyson gives us plenty of food for thought. One of my favorites is playing a numbers game with molecules and time. Here is my version of "Whose air are we breathing?":

Part 1
  • The air above 1 cm² of Earth weighs 1 kg.
  • The average molecular weight of air is about 29.
  • Thus each kg of air contains about 34.5 gm-moles.
  • 1 gm-mole contains 6.02x1023 molecules (or atoms) of any substance.
  • That comes to just over 2x1025 air molecules above each cm².
  • The surface area of Earth is 510 million km² or 5.1x1018 cm².
  • Thus the atmosphere contains a bit more than 1044 molecules.
Part 2
  • Our total lung capacity is around 6 liters (with a rather wide range).
  • Our "tidal" capacity, the amount we usually take in with each breath, is about a half liter.
  • That is about 0.022 gm-moles, or 1.3x1022 molecules.
  • An average person breathes about 23,000 times daily, when not exercising a lot, or about 8.4 million breaths yearly.
  • Napoleon Bonaparte lived 64 years.
  • In a 60-year span, the number of breaths would come to about 500 million.
  • All those breaths add up to 6.6x1030 air molecules.
Part 3
  • All the air that Napoleon breathed amounts to 1/15 trillionth of the atmosphere.
  • 1/15 trillionth of one tidal breath is 880 million air molecules.
Conclusion: Every breath you breathe contains nearly one billion of the air molecules once breathed by Napoleon…or by anyone else who has lived at least 60 years! Tyson didn't go into all this gory detail. He names a couple of the figures in a two-sentence riff on the subject. I just went through the figures to work it out for myself, and to share it here.

A particular aim of Dr. Tyson in everything he writes, and says in his programs, is to impress us with the power of the scientific method. We don't learn "how the world works" by guessing. We observe, make tentative conclusions based on observations, argue with others about it, eventually turn the conclusions into a hypothesis that we can test, and then repeat as needed. Now, in cosmology, a "test" would take billions of years. This isn't chemistry, for which you can mix a few things in a jar and take a measurement in a matter of seconds or minutes. Neither is it biology; we have no cosmological Gregor Mendel, crossbreeding stars as though they were peas. But we can work out the math and see how it squares with the things we see.

In science, more than in any other endeavor, "No man is an island." No woman either. The popular trope of the loner in a stained lab coat making a major discovery is simply unknown to real science. Even a few centuries ago, when chemistry was emerging from alchemy and astronomy was emerging from astrology, a "lonely genius" was really a highly social being, surrounded by helpers, colleagues, opponents, and many others. The quintessential scientific loner, Isaac Newton, spent much more time discussing his findings and theories with members of the Royal Society, including friends, "frienemies", and enemies, than he did carrying out observations or even thinking out his theories. Without a helpful gadfly-friend to prod him, he'd never have finished writing his Principia. So although Newton was famously anti-social, he still had to interact socially for his science to have usefulness and meaning. But that's the beauty of science. It is our great, collaborative enterprise of looking back at the Universe that birthed us, to see how it was done, and a great many more things of interest also.

This isn't a textbook. It provides not an education in the subject but a vision of what astrophysics is. If you treat it sort of like a textbook, and write down ideas that interest you as you go along, you'll gather fodder for any further studies you might wish to carry out. That's the kind of thing I've done all my life.

Saturday, October 08, 2016

A peek into physics

kw: book reviews, nonfiction, physics, popular treatments

Physics is the intersection of mathematics with observations of nature. So a book that promised an entirely non-mathematical presentation of the deepest puzzles of physics was impossible for me to pass by. In Seven Brief Lessons on Physics, Carlo Rovelli aims not so much for non-physicists to understand the great theories of physics, but for them to become intrigued by them.

Optimistically enough, he begins with "The Most Beautiful of Theories", discussing Albert Einstein's two related theories of relativity, the Special Theory, which treats of the effects of relative motion on time and space, and the General Theory, which unifies space with gravity. He discusses the problems left unsolved by Newton's mechanics, and at least helps us get a glimpse of the way that these two theories resolve them, at least in part.

Many people think that Einstein's Nobel Prize was for one of this theories of relativity, but it was instead for his work on the Photoelectric Effect, with which he demonstrated that light is quantized, or made up of particles. Newton had thought this might be so, calling the particles "corpuscles", but had no way at the time to prove it one way or another. Albert Einstein did so, and then worked on quantum theory for many years. Today, many, at least many of those with some scientific training, are more or less comfortable with light's having both a wave nature and a particle nature. Not only that, but elementary particles such as protons are found to also have a wave nature, though it takes subtle apparatus to winkle out the evidence for it.

Eventually, Einstein was dissatisfied with quantum mechanics, not least because his theory of general relativity and the developing theory of quanta were in fundamental conflict. General relativity requires that space and time be continuous. All aspects of quantum theory require them to be "chunked". Is this just another duality we simply have to accept, like the particle-wave duality of light and even matter? Dr. Rovelli is clear: At the moment we don't know, and nobody is sure how to resolve the dilemma. I like that about him. He doesn't sweep the problems under the rug. They are just there, waiting for someone to hit upon the right approach to straighten them out.

Rather than discuss each of the following chapters, I think it best to leave folks with the following picture of the way light behaves as it enters our eyes and is perceived. Once light is on its way to us, either directly from a source such as the sun or an artificial lamp, or indirectly after bouncing off something, whether it travels as a wave or as a stream of particles is not important. But as it reaches the cornea of the eye, and before that the very thin film of tears on the cornea, it behaves as a wave and is refracted. There is no equation in quantum mechanics which can adequately describe refraction. This shows us that quantum theory is still not complete. During the tenth of a nanosecond that the light is traveling through the eyeball, it is refracted several times, as it passes from one thing to the next: the tear film, the cornea, and aqueous humor in the front of the eye, the crystalline lens behind the iris, the vitreous humor that fills the rest of the eye, and a very thin film of liquid between that and the retina. At the retina, all of a sudden, the light behaves like a stream of particles. The "color" of light depends on the kinetic energy of those particles, the photons, the quanta of light. The cone cells in our retina come in three varieties (for most of us). The cones that respond only to a range of higher energy photons stimulate the color "blue", those that respond best to lower-energy photons stimulate "red", and those with a medium energy preference stimulate the color "green". Thus the particular mix of variously-energetic photons in the beam of light striking a particular patch of cone cells stimulates a color response, which may differ quite a lot from the response of the next patch over, depending on the energy mix of photons that reach that spot.

An interesting side note is that the solution to a quantum mechanical event requires an "observer", and in a simple way, we humans are typically considered the observers. But if phenomena such as diffraction occur when none of us is watching, as we think is true, then the "observer" is actually the whole of the universe, which responds at some level (usually a very, very, very low level) to every quantum event. So we aren't really the "observers" of quantum theory, but those who have figured out that whatever happens in the universe seems to matter to all the universe. At that point physics begins to border on metaphysics. By definition, science gets left behind if we go further.

The other matters covered in the book, cosmology and the shape of space, the resolution of the "particle zoo" that first emerged from our early cyclotrons and synchrotrons, what black holes might really represent, and where we fit into all of this, are each treated succinctly. Dr. Rovelli revels in the beauties of natural science as studied by theorists. His little book is a "good college try" at helping some of the rest of us respond to that beauty.

Friday, July 10, 2015

Exploring the quantum boundary

kw: book reviews, nonfiction, quantum mechanics, quantum theory, popular treatments

When I was about ten, I was disappointed in a picture I'd taken. I had been too far from the person I was "shooting", so he looked like no more than a couple of dots. Having recently learned about enlargements, I suggested getting the middle of the picture enlarged. My father remarked that the photo shop charges a lot for enlargements. Then I suggested putting it under my microscope and taking another picture, then getting that printed—I'd already been setting up a clumsy rig with a tripod holding Dad's camera at the eyepiece and making photos of the cells in thin-sliced carrots and leaves. He said I could try, but it would be very blurry, then explained about the grain in the print and in the negative. I looked, and sure enough, even at 25X the film grain made the picture look like it was printed on sand.

The next year he and I made a small telescope (I still use it), and I learned about diffraction and the magnification limit of an optical system. I realized, even if the film and print grain were a hundred times smaller, and even if the optics of the camera were flawless, diffraction would limit how much I could enlarge the final image.

This is an illustration of the Rayleigh criterion for resolving star images in a telescope. I downloaded it from the Angular Resolution article in Wikipedia. The upper section shows that the Airy Disks of the two stars are fully separated. The Airy Disk is everything inside the first dark ring (first null). The lowest section shows serious overlap, and the middle section shows the Rayleigh criterion, at which point the first null of one Airy Disk passes through the center of the other. This is the accepted resolution limit of a telescope system, or indeed, any optical system, including the eye.

What causes this pattern? It results from the interaction of light from a distant point source (or multiple sources) passing through a circular aperture. Just by the way, if you should get the notion to make a telescope with a rectangular aperture, under high magnification you'll get a diffraction pattern more like this:

Such diffraction patterns, I realized one day, are a visible manifestation of quantum-mechanical effects. If you could solve the Schrödinger Wave Equation for this system, the square of its solution would look like this image. In the SWE, the solution is in complex space, and represents probabilities, while the square of the complex probability at any point is the intensity of, for example, a beam of light or electrons, as it is spread through space by diffraction. One characteristic of the SWE is that, while there will frequently be numerous nulls, or zeroes, in the solution, there is no greatest angle or maximum distance beyond which its solution is always zero. This is why even huge telescopes such as the 10m diameter Keck telescopes in Hawaii still have a diffraction pattern once all other aberrations are accounted for (the atmosphere is a much bigger light scatterer "down here", though).

So, think of it. The yellow-green light that our eyes are most sensitive to has a wavelength of 0.55µ, or 550 nm. That's pretty small, about 1/1800 mm. And, even if we are comfortable with photons, the minimal packets of light, we think of them as having a similar "size". But diffraction patterns show us that a photon can somehow "sense" the entire aperture as it "chooses" by how much to change its direction of travel. A certain experiment that has been done with both photons and electrons proves it:

  • Set up a very, very light-tight box with a dimmable light source at one end, a sheet with a hole in it about midway, and either a sheet of film or an array of sensitive detectors (e.g. a digital camera sensor) at the opposite end.
  • Let's assume the light source is accompanied by a lens system that makes a uniform beam larger in diameter than the hole in the sheet.
  • Set the "brightness" of the light source such that there will very seldom be more than one photon inside the box at any one time. That's pretty dim!
    • A 550 nm photon has an energy of 2.254 eV.
    • A 1 mw yellow-green laser set to that wavelength (you can do that with dye lasers) emits 2.77 quadrillion photons per second.
    • Light traverses a 1-meter box in about 3 ns.
    • The 1 mw laser thus emits 8.3 million photons in those 3 ns.
    • Thus you must dim the beam by a factor of more than 8 million. That is 23 f/stops, or an ND of 6.9. Two pieces of #9 welding glass is about right.
  • Close the box, turn on the light, and wait about 3 hours.
  • Develop or download the resulting image. It will have the same diffraction pattern as if you'd left off the filters and shot a picture in 1/1000 sec.

The experiment has been done many times, usually using a two-slit setup. Either way, it shows that both a photon and an electron somehow "self-interfere" as they are influenced by everything along the way from emitter to "final resting place."

All the above serves to get my mind in gear to write about The Quantum Moment: How Planck, Bohr, Einstein, and Heisenberg Taught Us to Love Uncertainty By Robert P. Crease and Alfred Scharff Goldhaber. The authors, professors at Stony Brook University, aim to demonstrate that "quantum stuff" keeps things from either collapsing or flying apart. That we owe our lives to it. Dr. Goldhaber, in particular, draws upon classroom experience, for he teaches a course that uses optics to introduce quantum mechanics.

The book is filled with mini-histories and mini-biographies of the "physics greats" of a century ago who wrestled with the findings of phenomena that revealed that Newtonian mechanics are not up to the task of explaining all the little stuff that underlies our everyday experience. Optical diffraction is just one such phenomenon. If there were no diffraction, you could put a really powerful eyepiece on an ordinary pair of binoculars and see to the end of the universe...if your eyes were sensitive to really, really dim light (telescopes are big mainly to collect more light; high resolution is also good, but is secondary in many cases).

Einstein imagined riding a beam of light from emitter to absorber. Nowhere have I read an explanation that, from the photon's point of view, nothing happens at all. The special theory of relativity, with length compression by Lorentz contraction, and time dilation, only applies to non-photons, and in particular, particles with mass. If you take Lorentz contraction and time dilation to their limits at v=c, the photon travels no distance at all, and does so in zero time. So there is nothing to experience! From a photon's point of view, the entire universe has zero size and time has no meaning; the big bang may as well never have happened!

What if we step back a tiny bit, and imagine the neutrinos that arrived in 1987, heralding the core collapse of an immense star in the Large Magellanic Cloud, Supernova 1987a (SN1987a). I haven't read any analysis of their apparent velocity, but it must have been only the tiniest whisker slower than c. Neutrinos do have some mass, perhaps a few billionths of the mass of an electron, so they tend to have near-c velocities. It is likely that the "clock" of those neutrinos registered only a few minutes during their journey of 187,000 light years, and the distance seemed at most a few hundreds or thousands of kilometers. Now, that is relativistic.

What did Einstein and Planck and Heisenberg do that got everyone (among physicists) all in a dither for the first half of the Twentieth Century? First, Planck applied a minimum limit to the "packets" of energy radiating from a heated object, in order to combine two competing, and incompatible, mathematical models of "black body radiation" into a single formula. Einstein later showed a simpler derivation of that formula. But at first, physicists just thought of it all as a mathematical trick. In between, Einstein had described a good theory of the photoelectric effect, which seemed to require that light be in finite packets, that we now call photons.

Photons are usually small in terms of the energy they convey. As mentioned above, the yellow-green color seen at 550 nm wavelength is carried by photons with an energy of 2.254 eV (electron-Volts). An eV is a 6 billionth-billionths of a joule, and a 1-watt current is defined as one joule per second. But molecules are also small, and the energies that underlie their structure are similarly small. UVb radiation from the sun, just half the wavelength, and thus twice the energy, of "550 nm yellow-green", breaks chemical bonds in your skin, causing damage that can lead to cancer. So use sunscreen! (The middle of the UVb band is close to 275 nm, with a photon energy near 4.5 eV; more than enough to knock a carbon-carbon bond for a loop.)

Book after book is filled with the stories of the founders and discoverers of quantum physics. This book puts it all into a context that the authors call the Quantum Moment. They use the word "moment" the way a historian uses "era". From 1687 until 1927, the Newtonian Moment dominated about 240 years of physics discovery. Once a critical mass of physicists had to accept that quantum phenomena were real, not just mathematical tricks, the Quantum Moment arrived. The stories of the epic battle between Bohr, who formulated the Copenhagen Interpretation, and Einstein, whose work stimulated Bohr and others, but from which Einstein then recoiled, is told here with more feeling and clarity than any other I've read.

Scientists have an emotional bond with their science. For many of them, it is their church, which they defend as keenly as any ardent fundamental Christian defends his church's theology. In the Newtonian Moment, phenomena whose initial state could be perfectly described were thought to be perfectly predictable. The math might be gnarly, but it could, in principle, be done. Quantum theory, and then quantum mechanics, blow by blow cracked open this notion and showed it to be a fantasy.

This is not just the problem of imperfect knowledge, rounding errors, or the need to simplify your equations to make them solvable. Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle is not just a description of the way a measurement apparatus "kicks" a particle when you are measuring its location or velocity. What is Uncertain is not your measurement, but the actual location and velocity of the particle itself, at least according to Bohr. One implication of this with more recent application is the "no-quantum-cloning" principle, which makes certain applications of quantum computing impossible. However, they also make it very possible to create unbreakable cryptographic codes, which has the governments of the world (or their equivalents of our NSA and CIA) all-aquiver.

Then there's the cat. The authors give us the luscious details of Schrödinger's Cat satire, which he proposed as a slap against the notion of an "observer". Bohr and others needed some instruction from optics: every quantum particle is sensitive to, very literally, everything in the universe. All at once, and with no apparent limitation set by c. Heck, half the time, the cat is the only observer that matters. The other half, the cat is dead, and it ceases to matter to him. But, the authors point out, the air in the box is an "observer": the exchange of oxygen, water and carbon dioxide around a breathing cat are quite different from those near a dead one. So all we can say from outside the box with the cat in it, is that we can't decide the status of the cat without looking inside. We just need to remember that the term "observer" is very squishy.

I recall reading that even a pitched baseball has a "wavelength", according to the deBroglie formula. It is really tiny, only a few thousand times larger than the Planck limit of 10-35 cm, in fact. That means the deBroglie wavelength of a jet aircraft is much, much smaller than the Planck limit, which is why "real world" phenomena are easily treated as continuous for practical matters.

But the Cat, and the Uncertainly limit, show that the boundary between quantum and "classical" worlds is hard to pin down. Since that is the core of the Copenhagen Interpretation, it is seen to be weak at best, and in the eyes of some physicists, simply wrong. But there is no well-attested competing theory.

We must remember that the theories and mathematics of quantum "stuff" describe lots of "what" and a little bit of "how". They tell us nothing about "why". We don't know why there is a Pauli Exclusion Principle, that two electrons, and two only, can coexist in an atomic "s" shell, but only if they have opposite spins (and that "spin" is oddly different from the way a top spins). But we do know, that if it were not so, atoms would collapse in a blast of brightness, almost immediately, and the universe would collapse back into a reverse of the big bang, all at once and everywhere.

One scientist's work is not mentioned in this book, probably because he wasn't directly involved in the quantum revolution. But his work is pertinent in another way. Kurt Gödel formulated his Incompleteness Theorems in 1931, early in the Quantum Moment. Together, they show that no mathematical system can "solve" every problem that can be stated using its postulates, and that no mathematical system can be used to describe its own limitations. For example, there are rather simple polynomials that can be formulated using Algebra, but can only be solved using Complex Analysis. Even weirder if you know only Algebra, the simple formula X²=1 has two answers (1 and -1), but we tend to think that Xⁿ=-1 has only the answer -1 when n is odd, and is "imaginary" when n is even. But in Complex analysis, when n=3, for example, there are three answers, two of them involving an "imaginary" part.

At present, then, science has three boundaries to infinite exploration:

  • Heisenberg Uncertainty. You can't know everything to infinite precision.
  • Schrödinger Undecidability: You can't predict quantum phenomena on a particle-by-particle basis. Even if you could escape the Uncertainty Principle, you couldn't do anything of great use with the results (which would fill all the computers in the known universe, just describing a helium atom to sufficient precision).
  • Gödel Incompleteness: You can't solve most of the questions being asked in the framework of quantum mechanics, not now, not ever, using the methods of quantum mechanics. QM appears to be the most Gödelian of mathematical systems, in that it asks so few questions that can be answered!

For scientists who grew up in the Newtonian Moment, it is like finding out that your church has no roof, and the rain and raccoons are getting in and taking over the place. No wonder Einstein was upset! We are in the Quantum Moment, nearly 90 years into it, and it may be another century or two before a new Moment supersedes it. Get used to it.

Sunday, May 03, 2015

All your little bitty bits

kw: book reviews, nonfiction, science, atoms, popular treatments

I weigh a bit over 200 pounds, about 91 kg. Dry me out, and the residue would weigh about 85 lbs or 38+ kg. One could then (someone with a sufficiently strong stomach) divide up the dry mass into bone and muscle and so forth. But what is my atomic composition? If you also have that question, you'll find out in Your Atomic Self: The Invisible Elements That Connect You to Everything Else in the Universe by Curt Stager.

You can also get an answer of sorts from this table, but what fun is a table? In Your Atomic Self we find out, not just the amounts of the major chemical elements in us, but something about where they came from, how long they spend as a part of us, (not as long as you think!), and where they go when they leave us, or, ultimately, when each of "us" leaves our body behind.

For example, you and I are 2/3 oxygen, by weight. Most of that is in the water that makes up roughly 50-60% of our total weight (depending on bone/muscle/fat ratios). Where did all that oxygen come from? Surprisingly, the water we drink doesn't all become body water. Much of it is dissociated by various processes and some exits the body, rather soon, in our breath as carbon dioxide. The foods we eat all contain lots of oxygen, so some of that winds up in our body water, some in our tissues (fats and bone contain lots of oxygen), and some also gets breathed out as CO2.

Though our lungs may have a capacity of half a gallon to a gallon (2-4 liters), we seldom breathe this deeply; less than one liter (1 quart) per breath is typical when we are at rest, which is nearly all the time for sedentary Westerners. About 20% of the air we breathe is oxygen, and all but 1% of the rest is nitrogen, which contributes to air pressure, but is not chemically active in this form—for which we ought to be very grateful! We use about 1/3 of the oxygen we breathe in and exhale the rest (which is why mouth-to-mouth resuscitation is effective). But at 20 breaths per minute, we allow nearly 30,000 liters of air in and out of our lungs daily, including about 5,800 liters of oxygen, of which about 2,000 liters enters our blood stream, and an equivalent amount, attached to carbon, exits as some 2,000 liters of CO2.

Did you ever realize that a liter of CO2 weighs 37.5% more than a liter of O2? You'd lose a lot of weight if you did nothing but breathe all day! (Not really a lot; about a kilogram.) But as the author writes, there is more to the story than that, and it is not only the amount of water you take in and excrete.

Not all molecules of oxygen, and not all molecules of CO2, are the same. Most oxygen is the isotope O-16, but a small amount (0.2%) is a heavier isotope, O-18 (there's a tiny amount of O-17 also). Then, most carbon is C-12, but ~1% is C-13 and about one atom of carbon in a trillion is C-14, a radioactive isotope produced mainly by cosmic rays. So while most O2 molecules weigh 32 AMU (atomic mass units) and most CO2 molecules weigh 44 AMU, the weight of stable O2 can range up to 36, and that of stable CO2 can range up to 49, while rare C-14·O2 molecules can weigh between 46 and 50 AMU.

Why should that matter? The proportions of different molecular masses of these two substances can reveal the source of your diet and the air you've been breathing. Similar mass differences in water exist not only because of oxygen isotopes, but also hydrogen isotopes H-2 (deuterium) and H-3 (tritium). Physical processes such as evaporation tend to leave behind heavier molecules, and chemical processes, including photosynthesis in plants, prefer one isotope over another. This preference is not absolute, but it is enough that some kinds of foods have less O-18·O-16 in them compared to others, and so forth.

We also learn that each element connects us to the stars and to all life, each in its own way. Most hydrogen is primeval, created in the Big Bang, but some very small amount arises by spalling from processes such as cosmic ray collisions with atmospheric atoms. No elements heavier than lithium are primeval, but were created in extra-large stars that later exploded as supernovae, scattering them into the universe. So the hydrogen in you is billions of years older than your other elements…although a very few H atoms might be just a few days old! And all that oxygen and CO2 that you've breathed out? Something or someone else (a great many "else's") are breathing it in, at least some of it, right now.

Each chapter of the book discusses primarily one element, or sometimes two. So, while we are sometimes told most life is composed of CHON (carbon, hydrogen, oxygen and nitrogen), the chapter on sodium and potassium reveals why your nerves wouldn't work without them, nor without calcium (the chapter after). Calcium isn't just about bones, and sodium isn't just about food tasting good. They are essential to second-by-second life processes. As it happens, one of the most essential is phosphorus. So much so, that this element may determine just how many humans Earth can support. It is really rather rare for an element that must make up 1% of your body's weight! That is more than ten times its abundance in the Earth's crust in general, but thousands of times as abundant as the 'available P' in the biosphere. Hmmm. I've predicted that coming wars will be over water. Perhaps later wars will be waged for access to phosphorus bearing minerals…if indeed those come later.

Though the book discusses 9 elements (I didn't mention iron above), that leaves a couple dozen "useful" elements in our makeup, so another book is not out of the question. I'd like that. I really enjoyed Your Atomic Self.

Tuesday, July 23, 2013

You don't have to hate statistics

kw: book reviews, nonfiction, mathematics, statistics, popular treatments

Measure something. Say, take a yardstick and measure the width of the kitchen counter. In my kitchen, I get 24 inches. That is an observation. Guess what? You can't do statistics using one observation. Not because you are somehow incompetent, but because of the way statistics is defined. A common definition is:
Statistics is the practice or science of collecting and analyzing numerical data in large quantities.
Note the final qualifier: "in large quantities". It is possible to do a certain amount of statistical inference using just a few items—and we'll do some momentarily—but you typically need lots of data to produce a robust inference. However, a few principles can be seen by analyzing just a few observations. I measured my counter in five more locations. Here are all my observations:

24
24 1/8
23 7/8
23 7/8
23 3/4 (= 23 6/8)
23 5/8

We can do a few things with these six numbers. First, comparing the largest with the smallest, we see that the range is 3/8 (just under 1cm). I can take the average, which comes to 23 7/8. Hmm; if the building plans specified a 24 inch counter top, this one averages an eighth inch too narrow. Then there is a trend. These are in order, from one end of the counter to the other. The largest measurement is the second one, the smallest is the last, and the rest of the measurements follow a decreasing trend. In angular terms, a "tilt" of 3/8" in about 10 feet is only a sixth of a degree, but I'd expect a builder to do better than have "nearly a half inch" of variation over ten feet. Oh, well. One of my projects for later this year is to replace the counter tops anyway. I hope quality control has improved since these were installed in the 1970s!

Now for just a little terminology. The "average" I figured is known at the "mean". It is not the only way to determine "central tendency". Another is the "median", which means, the one in the middle (or the average of the central two if the sample has an even number of observations).  For example, if I sort these six numbers (in this case, just move the 24 1/8 above the 24), it happens that there are three that are 23 7/8 or larger, and three that are 23 7/8 or smaller. So the median is 23 7/8. This is not always the case, and perhaps it is not even usually the case. For example, if I have the seven numbers 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 14, 30, the mean is 9 but the median is 5. Note that only 2 of these numbers are greater than 9.

Another such measure is the "mode", which means the most likely value. Mode is really not too meaningful when there are only six observations, but for these data, the mode is also 23 7/8. Suppose instead that I had measured that fourth width as 23 3/4. This would have very little difference on the mean (23 6.8/8) or the median (23 13/16 or 23 6.5/8), but the mode would now be 23 3/4, because that number arose the most frequently (twice).

This illustration shows how these are related (Image from The Daily Dongle). A frequency plot of a very regular set of measurements such as shown in (a) will have mean, median and mode that are equal or nearly equal. Sometimes we make measurements that have more than one "hump" (their distribution is called bimodal) as in (b). But (c) and (d) show two ways that a series of measurements may reveal a skewness, in which case the three measures will be quite different.

Each has its uses. Average height of Euro-American males is best described as the mean, the numerical average of all measurements. We might also surmise that the median and mode will be very similar to the mean. But if you include Euro-American women, the bimodality may not be too evident, but it is there. At the very least a frequency plot will be flatter on top and have a wider total range. If the average male is 70" tall and the average woman is 64" tall (for Euro-A's, anyway), the grand average will be 67", but that single number tells you less than the two numbers, segregated by sex.

What about yearly income, or prices of homes in a city or county, or the whole country? When you hear a Real Estate report on the radio, you will hear, for example, "Median home price has risen by $5,000 in the past month". Why not use the mean? Because the distribution is skewed. There might be a few homes with very small values, and a few with very high values, but where do you put the "middle"?

Example: Broken Arrow, OK (I know someone there). The least expensive houses on the market, as I find from Realtor.com, are in the $25,000-$50,000 range. The most expensive, in the range between $1.2 million and $1.4 million. Do you think it likely that home prices are evenly distributed between these limits, producing a "middle" value of about $700,000? Not likely! In this market, this moment, 684 homes are for sale. Houses # 341 and 342 on the sorted list the web site provides are both priced at $170,000. That is our median for this market (today). Quite a bit different from 700k, isn't it? Half the houses' owners are asking $170,000 or less, and the other half are asking more. If you can afford a $200,000 house, at the most, you have a lot to choose from. Wherever the larger values in a distribution are a big multiple of the smaller values, the median is usually the best measure of "average".

This is my simple attempt to explain a few statistical principles. Charles Wheelan does a superb job of explaining these and a goodly number of others in Naked Statistics: Stripping the Dread From the Data. In the middle of the book, for example, he dwells quite a bit on the Central Limit Theorem. This has to do with sampling.

Above, I took six measurements of my kitchen counter. I could have taken a lot more, perhaps spaced every inch, or even closer. Suppose I sent my wife into the kitchen with a yardstick and asked her to make six measurements, with the same yardstick, in locations of her choosing. Then perhaps we could grab some of our neighbors and have them repeat the experiment. Now I will have several sets of numbers, and each set will have its own average. Do you think any of the averages will be close to, say 22, or 27? Not unless there are some BIG wiggles in the counter's shape, that I avoided with my measurements. If I could get a lot of my neighbors to make sets of measurements, the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) predicts that they will be distributed a lot like section (a) of the illustration above, clustering about some average value that is close to the "real" mean for all possible measurements of my counter.

As the author goes on to show, with marvelous examples, this is the source of the power of polling. Not only can a poll yield very useful results about all 180 million American adults by polling 1,000 or 2,000 people (properly chosen!), marketers (who pay the most for such data) can predict some of our preferences based on what we have already bought or even searched for (Google sells its search results, don'tcha know). My wife and I have "loyalty cards" from a few local grocers and other stores. We get discounts on certain items for scanning the card when checking out. In a sense, the store is paying us for the right to keep track of our purchases. Something else we get during checkout is a series of spot-printed coupons (the more we buy the more coupons they print). Some coupons are for more of the things we often buy. Others are for similar items of competing brands (the brands' owners are in on this also). And there will usually be a few "wild card" coupons that show up over time, for things we might not usually buy. Why? Because other people whose purchasing habits are similar to ours buy those things, and the store is betting that we are more likely to try those items if we get a coupon to prod us, compared to giving the same coupon to random shoppers. They have also figured out that we are "on the edge of elderly", so some of the coupons are for things like Ensure (an energy drink for old folks) or Depends (adult diapers).

Think about it. A typical supermarket has tens of thousands of customers that visit regularly. If 25% have the store card, they can slice and dice that population a dozen or a hundred ways, to target their coupon campaign. And, since coupons cost almost nothing to print, they can throw in 30%-50% off-the-wall coupons so we don't realize how precisely we have been targeted!

If you get nothing else out of this book, read it carefully for the author's explanation of the CLT and his stories of how it is used (such as how Target "helped" a father learn that his teen daughter was pregnant). He reveals all sorts of tricks of the trade, such as the numerical way to handle binary differences such as male/female. I am a math junkie, so of course I love a book like this. But I think the math-averse will also find it very entertaining and informative.