Too wrong to be wrong

 kw: book reviews, nonfiction, science, pseudoscience, sociology, humor

Imagine two utterly involatile items—tungsten ball bearings, say—orbiting one another in an absolute vacuum at a temperature very near absolute zero. The only force operating on them is their mutual gravitation. Based on the common meaning of the words, this system would be an example of perpetual motion. One could quibble that even in this microkelvin environment, an occasional tungsten atom volatilizes, such that over an extremely long time, occasional collisions between errant atoms and one or the other object would slow their orbital motion. I don't know how to calculate how long a time must elapse until the objects come to rest and, of course, settle into contact, nor how much longer before they evaporate away to a uniform tungsten gas. Certainly, our universe could not host a region in which this system is possible.

To would-be inventors, perpetual motion has a very different meaning: a system from which one can extract usable energy without adding energy.

This painting by Norman Rockwell, which graced the cover of the October 1920 issue of Popular Science, illustrates one of the many thousands of ingenious designs of perpetual motion machines. Just like all the others, a machine like this can be made with very low-friction components so that it will run for a very long time. But it will always slow down and eventually stop. If you try to extract some of its energy of rotation, it will come to a stop even sooner. Always, always.

The sociological phenomenon of "getting something for nothing" lies behind perpetual motion, and is the subject of Chapter 4 of  Pseudo Science: An Amusing History of Crackpot Ideas and Why We Love Them by Lydia Kang, MD and Nate Pedersen.

The authors state at the outset that the book is not comprehensive. Indeed, they shied away from overly politicized areas (e.g. Lamarckist and Lysenkoist theories of evolution) and the grossly evil ones (e.g. eugenic programs and vivisection, human and otherwise). Such things aside, they gathered 25 categories of pseudoscientific beliefs in four sections: "Pure Nonscience", such as flat-earthism, perpetual motion, and phrenology (bumps and lumps on the head); "Aliens! Ghosts! Bigfoot! Atlantis!", including UFOs (or UAPs these days), cryptozoology, and the "2012 Apocalypse"; "Wishful Thinking", or sundry ways to "predict" the future such as astrology or superstitions; and "Grifters, Nihilism and Denialism", where they lump in sundry conspiracy theories and dowsing.

Among the conspiracy theories they discuss, they do make a political foray, although I suppose they don't think of it that way: Climate Change Denial. What was once the Greenhouse Effect, from the early 1800's until the mid-1900's, became Global Warming before morphing another time or two so that now we hear of Climate Change, usually "catastrophic climate change". Here they toe the party line, the party of totalitarians. Sadly. Let's take a side trip into the facts as I know them:

• Joseph Fourier (he of the "series") in 1824 concluded that a "greenhouse trapping" effect by, primarily, water vapor caused the average temperature of the Earth to be warm enough to keep most of the planet's water in liquid phase.
• Svante Arrhenius in 1896 calculated the added effects of other gases, primarily carbon dioxide. He concluded that CO₂ could add a few degrees to the warming. The relevant sentence on p. 254 has Arrhenius stating that the added carbon dioxide "from coal combustion could result in global warming and possibly the extinction of the human race." This is utterly false. Arrhenius actually wrote,

"…we may hope to enjoy ages with more equable and better climates, especially as regards the colder regions of the earth, ages when the earth will bring forth much more abundant crops than at present, for the benefit of rapidly propagating mankind." 

He was from Sweden, and thought a bit of warmth would be beneficial. Just for the record, I consider that Canada, Siberia, and Patagonia will benefit, possibly to become the new breadbaskets of their respective continents, along with the Scandinavian countries. Further,

• As a teen I repeated Arrhenius's calculations. Later I majored in four sciences, with a "hobby" of computer coding (with which I paid my way until retirement). 
• In the regime of CO₂ concentration below about 1% (10,000 ppm), the absorption bands in mid- to longwave infrared "max out", or become saturated, before a concentration of 500 ppm is reached. In other words, with a present concentration of 425 ppm, nearly all the warming possible has already occurred. CO₂ in the atmosphere is increasing about 2.5 ppm per year, so the little bit of extra warming we can expect over the next 25-30 years is minor to negligible.
• Studies of fossils from times of high CO₂ and experiments with enclosed stands of trees where extra CO₂ is added to the air have shown that trees and other leafy plants grow faster and larger when CO₂ concentration is about 1,000 ppm, or 0.1%. This goes for rice also, contrary to some recent claims in overly politicized reporting.

"Global warming" and its various aliases was appropriated by the totalitarian Left in the US and much of the developed world as a cudgel to gain political control of the populace and the energy economy. They reason that only by creating an impoverished populace, including elimination of the middle class, can they achieve the power they crave. The deplorable condition of the Leftist-controlled major cities in the US, and their surfeit of impoverished minorities, portends the condition of all the world under Leftism.

Climate change has become a political tool, such that reasoned dialogue is no longer possible. OK, end of my soap box rant.

Much of the humor in the book is found in picture captions, such as, from the chapter Phrenology, an old illustration captioned, "An 1886 illustration of parents annoying children by stressing about their future careers," and in Cryptozoology, by an etching of a kraken dragging a ship into the sea, "This giant octopus would like a word about your sushi order." The text itself is straightforward, light-hearted in general, and a pleasure to read.

In the Personality Psychology chapter some ink is spent on MBTI, the Myers-Briggs Type Indicator. Many businesses use this to categorize (or label) employees. The category I fit is INTP, for Introverted-iNtuitive-Thinking-Perceiving. If the sixteen Types are taken as some fixed construct, being thusly labeled can lead to managerial abuse, which the authors dwell upon. However, at my company, at least, we learned the details of our assessments. Each Type Indication was based on our answers to a couple dozen questions. The final Indicator, such as the T applied to me, is a balance between opposing traits. Thus T and F, or Thinking and Feeling, go together. With up to 100 points to dole out, the T=7 in my score actually indicated 49T-42F, which means I am strong in both traits. As it happens, my career was built on my analytical skills, but I am also well known for my tendency to weep at weddings, and the way my son played the Toccata by Khachaturian at a recital also brought me to tears. The other three Indicators were also balances. I-E (Introversion-Extraversion), for example was stronger for I with a good dollop of E, and this is further influenced by the fact that I am somewhat bipolar: When I am "up" I am more sociable than otherwise, and "otherwise" tends to last longer. In this case, treating MBTI Types as prison cells is the pseudoscience. The authors rightly decry such practices.

In the chapter on the "2012 Mayan Apocalypse" it is a pity that they don't mention the excellent book, 2012: Science and Prophecy of the Ancient Maya, by Mark Van Stone, PhD, co-author of Reading the Maya Glyphs. In Dr. Van Stone's view, frequently stated, "December 22nd, 2012 will be akin to January 1 on our calendar."

The book is fun, interesting, and contains a bit of an Easter egg: The cover is printed in three colors of fluorescent ink, as these photos show.

This is a library book, and the dimmer section at lower left of the UV image is caused by library tape—which absorbs most UV—holding the catalog number to the spine.

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My turn to give the copywriter a wrist-slap:

• On p. 105, the phrase "…more likely of the reeds' displacement" is missing a word and should read, "…more likely cause of the reeds' displacement."
• On p. 139, a picture of the Aztec Calendar Stone is labeled "The Maya Calendar." This is a very common error. The Mayan civilization fell before 900 AD. The Aztec civilization, featuring a different ethnic group, began about 1300 AD, four centuries later. The inscriptions of both cultures are distinctive and unique to each.
• On p. 155, pipes bursting due to freezing water are likened to a soda can bursting in the freezer. Sorry, but the latter eruption is due to CO₂ being driven out of the soda as it freezes. There is room in the can for water-to-ice expansion, but the CO₂ raises the pressure much higher.
• On p. 259, a more basic typo: a temperature rise of 2.5°F is equated to -16°C. This is a category error. As a temperature difference, 2.5°F equals nearly 1.4°C (of course, when the temperature is 2.5°F on a winter's day, that does equal -16°C).